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Economic Insights Archives

  • Articles
    • Will the Federal Reserve hike interest rates and send the economy into a recession? (January 2019)
      As financial markets sell off and economic growth forecasts show signs of slowing, it's logical to question what the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next interest rate move will be.
    • Did the current economic cycle skip a recession? (December 2018)
      The economy has been flowing along for quite some time, and many are wondering how much longer this forward momentum will last.
    • What is driving volatility in the equity markets? (November 2018)
      Chief Investment Officer KC Mathews and Head of Equity Research Will Reese examine the forces simultaneously attempting to accelerate economic growth and signal a slowdown.
    • We are seeing economic expansion, but how long will it last? (October 2018)
      UMB Bank Chief Investment Officer KC Mathews discusses the economy, interest and mortgage rates, and stock market trends.
    • Will the labor market create an economic soft landing? (August 2018)
      The business cycle naturally fluctuates between periods of expansion and contraction, but will a tight labor market cause this cycle to be different?
    • When will the bull market end? (June 2018)
      We know the market is cyclical. Sooner or later we will see a bear market, an equity market, down 20 percent or more. The question is, will your portfolio be ready?
    • Looking for a stock market crystal ball? (May 2018)
      While no one will ever be able to look into a stock market crystal ball to see what's ahead, there is something investors can monitor to help identify stock market shifts – the bond market.
    • Trade spat or a trade war? (April 2018)
      KC Mathews breaks down the aftermath of President Donald Trump's proposed tariff on imported steel and aluminum.
  • Economic Outlooks

    Economic indicators by month.

    • October 2018
    • September 2018
    • May 2018
    • April 2018
    • March 2018
    • February 2018
    • January 2018
  • InSight Newsletters

    UMB's quarterly private wealth management newsletter, InSight, is designed with our client's specific needs in mind.

    • Summer 2018
    • Winter 2018
    • Fall 2017
  • Institutional Investment Management Insights
    • Volume 2
    • Volume 1
  • Quarterly Economic Forecasts

    UMB's quarterly economic forecast provides valuable insight into the current economic landscape and market environment.

    • All-Time Highs - 2018 Q3 video | pdf
    • The Big Trade Off - 2018 Q2 video | pdf
    • Risk? What Risk? - 2018 Q1 video | pdf
    • Is This As Good As it Gets? - 2017 Q4 video | pdf

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